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Ruin by dynamic contagion claims

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In this paper, we consider a risk process with the arrival of claims modelled by a dynamic contagion process, a generalisation of the Cox process and Hawkes process introduced by Dassios and Zhao (2011). We derive results for the infinite horizon model that are generalisations of the Cramér-Lundberg approximation, Lundberg's fundamental equation, some asymptotics as well as bounds for the probability of ruin. Special attention is given to the case of exponential jumps and a numerical example is provided.

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en

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http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/43324/

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