Resource title

Climate change and modelling of extreme temperatures in Switzerland

Resource image

image for OpenScout resource :: Climate change and modelling of extreme temperatures in Switzerland

Resource description

This study models maximum temperatures in Switzerland monitored in twelve locations using the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. The parameters of the GEV distribution are determined within a Bayesian framework. We find that the parameters of the underlying distribution underwent a substantial change in the beginning of the 1980s. This change is characterised by an increase both in the level and the variability. We assess the likelihood of a heat wave of the Summer of 2003 using the fitted GEV distribution by accounting for the presence of a structural break. The estimation results do suggest that the heat wave of 2003 appears not that statistically improbable event as it is generally accepted in the relevant literature.

Resource author

Boriss Siliverstovs, Rainald Ötsch, Claudia Kemfert, Carlo Jaeger, Armin Haas, Hans Kremers

Resource publisher

Resource publish date

Resource language

eng

Resource content type

text/html

Resource resource URL

http://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363

Resource license

Adapt according to the presented license agreement and reference the original author.