Resource title

On the Production of Victory: Empirical Determinants of Battlefield Success in Modern War

Resource image

image for OpenScout resource :: On the Production of Victory: Empirical Determinants of Battlefield Success in Modern War

Resource description

Using a data set of historical battles from 1600 to 1973, this paper analyzes the empirical determinants of tactical success in modern war. Based on a reduced form approach we consider key elements of military theory as factors in the production of combat success, formalized in a military production function. The paper focuses on the relationship of material and non-material factors to battlefield success, and especially on the role of superior force strengths. Contrary to the emphasis on technology which can be found in the recent literature, our estimation results indicate that numerical superiority has retained its crucial role for battlefield performance throughout history. In general, human elements of warfare, like leadership, morale and surprise, have continued to be important determinants of battle outcome despite technological progress in weapons.

Resource author

Ralph Rotte, Christoph M. Schmidt

Resource publisher

Resource publish date

Resource language

eng

Resource content type

text/html

Resource resource URL

http://hdl.handle.net/10419/21449

Resource license

Adapt according to the presented license agreement and reference the original author.