Resource title

Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany

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Resource description

Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if not taken sufficiently into account in forecasting, may lead to predictable forecast errors. We use this insight to identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD?s forecasts for Germany?s consumption and GDP growth.

Resource author

Angelos A. Antzoulatos, Bernd Wilfling

Resource publisher

Resource publish date

Resource language

eng

Resource content type

text/html

Resource resource URL

http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19164

Resource license

Adapt according to the presented license agreement and reference the original author.