Resource title

The Impact of Technological Opportunity on the Dynamics of Trade Performance

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Resource description

The paper explores firstly the impact of technological change on trade growth at the country level,using trade statistics and statistics on patenting activity in the US, across 20 countries for 17manufacturing sectors. Secondly, using structural decomposition analysis, the paper examinewhether the degree to which countries get access to sectors with above average growth intechnological opportunity has any impact on growth in aggregate market shares of exports. Theresults demonstrate that there is a positive relationship between change in trade performance andchange in technological capabilities across countries for 8 ‘technology intensive’ sectors over theperiod 1965-1988. It is also shown that there appear to be some (however weak) relationshipbetween the degree to which countries get access to sectors with above average growth intechnological opportunity and growth in aggregate market shares. However, there seems to be amuch stronger positive relationship between growth rates in trade performance and the individual‘national innovation system’s’ ability to actively move into technological sectors offering aboveaverage technological opportunity.

Resource author

Keld Laursen

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Resource publish date

Resource language

eng

Resource content type

application/pdf

Resource resource URL

http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8122

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